4Dec
Finance
Past is Prologue: Inference from the Cross Section of Returns Around an Event
4 December 2023 | 2:30p.m.-4:00p.m
KK 1121, K. K. Leung Building, HKU
Speaker:
Prof. Travis L. Johnson
Associate Professor of Finance
The University of Taxas at Austin
Abstract:
This paper assesses various approaches to testing for differential valuation effects of an event such as a regulatory change as a function of firm characteristics. Standard cross-sectional return regressions typically reject at the 1% significance level in more than 20% of non-event periods, suggesting that the bar for rejecting in these tests is far too low. Clustering standard errors results in only a modest reduction in excess rejection. Using the time-series distribution of cross-sectional regression coefficients in pre-event windows to conduct inference addresses the excess rejection problem.