In the Media

Today, in the face of complex environmental, social, and governance challenges, ESG has become a central focus for businesses. In the past, businesses often improved their ESG ratings by following the criteria of various rating agencies. However, with around 600 ESG rating agencies worldwide, each with its own standards, rating inconsistencies are common. This means that even with significant efforts in ESG, companies may still receive varying ratings.

Chen Zhiwu, chair professor of finance at the University of Hong Kong, said the Hong Kong economy would inevitably be hurt as the US was likely to raise tariffs on Chinese goods and toughen policies on technology transfers and tech investments in China. But he said he also expected the new tariffs to be capped at 60 per cent. The former Yale University professor pointed to one of Trump’s biggest supporters, tech billionaire Elon Musk, as a possible taming force in policymaking related to China during Trump’s second term. He also anticipated more aggressive stimulus efforts from Beijing to counter the greater geopolitical uncertainty. “Thus, on balance, this US election outcome may actually be good for Hong Kong, at least to the extent that it makes the leadership in Beijing reprioritise economic development over politics,” Chen said.

In a recent interview with Radio Television Hong Kong (RTHK), Prof. Heiwai Tang, Associate Dean of HKU Business School and Director of Asia Global Institute, provided an in-depth analysis of the implications of Donald Trump winning the US presidential election. He mentioned that Trump advocates for an "America First" policy, and the implementation of high tariffs and trade wars could disrupt global supply chains. However, this might benefit financial markets, as Trump is likely to use monetary policy, particularly interest rate cuts, to stimulate economic growth. Prof. Tang emphasised that while tariffs will undoubtedly impact Chinese exports, the effects may not be as severe as anticipated. He highlighted the conflict Trump faces between inflationary pressures and the desire to lower interest rates. He believes that while Trump will certainly impose tariffs on China, they are unlikely to reach the 60% level he suggests. Furthermore, he indicated that Trump may hesitate to implement a 10% tariff on allies in the short term. Regarding US-China relations, Professor Tang predicts that complete decoupling is unlikely because the US will continue to purchase non-sensitive items from China. He also suggested that Trump's policies could have a mildly positive effect on the global economy and could potentially aid Hong Kong in reclaiming its status as a financial hub.

In the highly anticipated US presidential election, regardless of the outcome, the elected candidate will significantly impact the international political and economic landscape. Trump's foreign economic policy during his first term has already become apparent, with a strong focus on using tariffs as a negotiation tool. If re-elected, he intends to impose tariffs of up to 60% to 100% on Chinese products and 10% to 20% on goods from other countries.

E-commerce sales in Hong Kong currently represent only 8% of total retail sales, significantly lower than in markets like mainland China, the UK, and South Korea. This suggests substantial growth potential for e-commerce and digital trade in the region. The city should seize future trade trends and focus on digitizing trade by achieving three KPIs: the realization of paperless trade, the development of cross-border e-commerce, and the advancement of digital services trade.

Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) investing is rapidly gaining traction in global financial markets, aiming to integrate environmental protection and social responsibility into investment decisions to promote sustainable development. Despite its wide support, ESG investing faces criticism, particularly in the United States, where some state governments and the energy sector express concerns about its potential negative impact on the economy and business competitiveness.

In recent years, Hong Kong's economy has entered a period of uncertainty, with increasing reports of layoffs and business closures. However, while the public's perception of the job market is less than positive, the unemployment rate is kept at a low level. What is happening? The unemployment rate refers to the ratio of the number of unemployed individuals to the total labour force. Prof. Heiwai Tang, Associate Dean of HKU Business School and Director of the Asia Global Institute, explained that the low unemployment rate is largely due to recent emigration, which has decreased both the labour force and the number of unemployed individuals. He highlighted that ongoing business closures are likely to exert upward pressure on the unemployment rate. Many emigrants are skilled professionals, while new arrivals often prioritise settling their families, leading to job mismatches.

Hong Kong’s economy grapples with several long-standing structural challenges, such as monopolies by large corporations and an over-reliance on the financial sector, which presents a pressing need for economic diversification. Prof. Heiwai Tang, Associate Dean of HKU Business School and Director of the Asia Global Institute, notes that despite the Central Government’s push for multi-industry development, including high-tech advancements and enhancing collaboration with the Greater Bay Area, talent loss due to emigration and a conservative civil service culture are hindering significant breakthroughs. While the government has launched various talent attraction policies, such as the “Top Talent Pass Scheme”, Prof. Tang highlights the need for Hong Kong to attract leading enterprises to the city, which will naturally draw in the skilled professionals required for sustainable growth. As Hong Kong adapts to geopolitical shifts, a two-legged approach is recommended to strengthen its ties beyond the West, extending connections to ASEAN and the Middle East. This involves improving academic research and education related to Islamic culture and finance.

“Third-quarter numbers will likely disappoint more and underperform the second quarter’s 4.7 per cent year on year growth, piling on Beijing’s woes,” said Chen Zhiwu, chair professor of finance at the University of Hong Kong. “This is why Beijing has been proactively introducing stimulus at the end of the third quarter.